Introduction
- Poker Hand Probability Texas Holdem
- Cached
- PROBABILITY: 5-CARD POKER HANDS
- Poker Hand Probability Table Examples
- Odds And Probabilities | How To Calculate Odds In Poker
- See All Results For This Question
This page examines the probabilities of each final hand of an arbitrary player, referred to as player two, given the poker value of the hand of the other player, referred to as player one. Combinations shown are out of a possible combin(52,5)×combin(47,2)×combin(45,2) = 2,781,381,002,400. The primary reason for this page was to assist with bad beat probabilities in a two-player game, for example the Bad Beat Bonus in Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em.
- May 23, 2017 There are 2,598,960 many possible 5-card Poker hands. Thus the probability of obtaining any one specific hand is 1 in 2,598,960 (roughly 1 in 2.6 million). The probability of obtaining a given type of hands (e.g. Three of a kind) is the number of possible hands for that type over 2,598,960. Thus this is primarily a counting exercise.
- Then, the probability of each poker hand classification is simply its frequency divided by 2,598,960. The probabilities calculated below are based on drawing 5 cards from a shuffled poker deck. The likelihood of each type of hand determines its value. The less likely the hand, the more it is worth.
- For this column, we will restrict ourselves to starting hands from A - A at 35% probability down to Q - 10 off suit at 16% — the 42 best possible starting hands out of a total of 169 non.
- Poker Odds and Charts Chances of hitting, flopping and holding certain hands. These odds are a must know if you want to advance your game to a high level. For exact odds you can check out our poker hand odds calculator. We rounded the number to the nearest decimal for you.
For example, if you wish to know the probability of a particular player getting a full house and losing to a four of a kind, we can see from table 7 that there are 966,835,584 such combinations. The same table shows us that given that player one has a full house, the probability of losing to a four of a kind is 0.013390. To get the probability before any cards are dealt, divide 966,835,584 by the total possible combinations of 2,781,381,002,400, which yields 0.0002403.
Table 1 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has less than a pair.
Poker Hand Probability Texas Holdem
Table 1 — First Player has Less than Pair
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | 164,934,908,760 | 0.340569 |
Pair | 228,994,769,160 | 0.472845 |
Two pair | 43,652,558,880 | 0.090137 |
Three of a kind | 7,303,757,580 | 0.015081 |
Straight | 26,248,866,180 | 0.054201 |
Flush | 13,060,678,788 | 0.026969 |
Full house | - | 0.000000 |
Four of a kind | - | 0.000000 |
Straight flush | 85,751,460 | 0.000177 |
Royal flush | 10,532,592 | 0.000022 |
Total | 484,291,823,400 | 1.000000 |
Table 2 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has a pair.
Table 2 — First Player has a Pair
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | 228,994,769,160 | 0.187874 |
Pair | 574,484,133,960 | 0.471324 |
Two pair | 270,127,833,552 | 0.221621 |
Three of a kind | 47,736,401,832 | 0.039164 |
Straight | 50,797,137,096 | 0.041676 |
Flush | 30,076,271,352 | 0.024675 |
Full house | 15,829,506,000 | 0.012987 |
Four of a kind | 586,278,000 | 0.000481 |
Straight flush | 214,250,184 | 0.000176 |
Royal flush | 25,380,864 | 0.000021 |
Total | 1,218,871,962,000 | 1.000000 |
Table 3 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has a two pair.
Table 3 — First Player has a Two Pair
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | 43,652,558,880 | 0.066798 |
Pair | 270,127,833,552 | 0.413355 |
Two pair | 246,286,292,328 | 0.376872 |
Three of a kind | 31,155,189,408 | 0.047674 |
Straight | 18,549,991,152 | 0.028386 |
Flush | 14,200,694,712 | 0.021730 |
Full house | 28,751,944,680 | 0.043997 |
Four of a kind | 653,378,400 | 0.001000 |
Straight flush | 109,829,304 | 0.000168 |
Royal flush | 12,673,584 | 0.000019 |
Total | 653,500,386,000 | 1.000000 |
Table 4 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has a three of a kind.
COMBINATORIAL PROBABILITY: POKER HANDS We have the table of probabilities for poker hands as follows: recall that the ‘scoring' cards are denoted x and y, the other cards are denoted a, b etc.
Table 4 — First Player has a Three of a Kind
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | 7,303,757,580 | 0.054369 |
Pair | 47,736,401,832 | 0.355348 |
Two pair | 31,155,189,408 | 0.231918 |
Three of a kind | 27,586,332,384 | 0.205352 |
Straight | 3,310,535,196 | 0.024643 |
Flush | 2,606,403,900 | 0.019402 |
Full house | 12,910,316,760 | 0.096104 |
Four of a kind | 1,705,867,680 | 0.012698 |
Straight flush | 19,970,844 | 0.000149 |
Royal flush | 2,304,216 | 0.000017 |
Total | 134,337,079,800 | 1.000000 |
Table 5 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has a straight.
Table 5 — First Player has a Straight
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | 26,248,866,180 | 0.204299 |
Pair | 50,797,137,096 | 0.395362 |
Two pair | 18,549,991,152 | 0.144377 |
Three of a kind | 3,310,535,196 | 0.025766 |
Straight | 25,219,094,136 | 0.196284 |
Flush | 3,229,836,828 | 0.025138 |
Full house | 975,510,000 | 0.007593 |
Four of a kind | 43,198,800 | 0.000336 |
Straight flush | 98,961,348 | 0.000770 |
Royal flush | 9,485,064 | 0.000074 |
Total | 128,482,615,800 | 1.000000 |
Table 6 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has a flush.
Table 6 — First Player has a Flush
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | 13,060,678,788 | 0.155206 |
Pair | 30,076,271,352 | 0.357410 |
Two pair | 14,200,694,712 | 0.168754 |
Three of a kind | 2,606,403,900 | 0.030973 |
Straight | 3,229,836,828 | 0.038382 |
Flush | 19,608,838,592 | 0.233021 |
Full house | 1,102,206,960 | 0.013098 |
Four of a kind | 50,221,200 | 0.000597 |
Straight flush | 191,762,164 | 0.002279 |
Royal flush | 23,604,264 | 0.000281 |
Total | 84,150,518,760 | 1.000000 |
Table 7 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has a full house.
Table 7 — First Player has a Full House
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | - | 0.000000 |
Pair | 15,829,506,000 | 0.219222 |
Two pair | 28,751,944,680 | 0.398185 |
Three of a kind | 12,910,316,760 | 0.178795 |
Straight | 975,510,000 | 0.013510 |
Flush | 1,102,206,960 | 0.015264 |
Full house | 11,661,414,336 | 0.161499 |
Four of a kind | 966,835,584 | 0.013390 |
Straight flush | 8,767,440 | 0.000121 |
Royal flush | 993,600 | 0.000014 |
Total | 72,207,495,360 | 1.000000 |
Table 8 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has a four of a kind.
Table 8 — First Player has a Four of a Kind
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | - | 0.000000 |
Pair | 586,278,000 | 0.125418 |
Two pair | 653,378,400 | 0.139772 |
Three of a kind | 1,705,867,680 | 0.364923 |
Straight | 43,198,800 | 0.009241 |
Flush | 50,221,200 | 0.010743 |
Full house | 966,835,584 | 0.206828 |
Four of a kind | 668,375,136 | 0.142980 |
Straight flush | 390,960 | 0.000084 |
Royal flush | 44,160 | 0.000009 |
Total | 4,674,589,920 | 1.000000 |
Cached
Table 9 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has a straight flush.
Table 9 — First Player has a Straight Flush
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | 85,751,460 | 0.110699 |
Pair | 214,250,184 | 0.276582 |
Two pair | 109,829,304 | 0.141782 |
Three of a kind | 19,970,844 | 0.025781 |
Straight | 98,961,348 | 0.127752 |
Flush | 191,762,164 | 0.247552 |
Full house | 8,767,440 | 0.011318 |
Four of a kind | 390,960 | 0.000505 |
Straight flush | 44,354,840 | 0.057259 |
Royal flush | 596,856 | 0.000770 |
Total | 774,635,400 | 1.000000 |
Table 10 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has a royal flush.
Table 10 — First Player has a Royal Flush
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | 10,532,592 | 0.117164 |
Pair | 25,380,864 | 0.282336 |
Two pair | 12,673,584 | 0.140981 |
Three of a kind | 2,304,216 | 0.025632 |
Straight | 9,485,064 | 0.105512 |
Flush | 23,604,264 | 0.262573 |
Full house | 993,600 | 0.011053 |
Four of a kind | 44,160 | 0.000491 |
Straight flush | 596,856 | 0.006639 |
Royal flush | 4,280,760 | 0.047619 |
Total | 89,895,960 | 1.000000 |
Table 9 — First Player has a Straight Flush
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | 85,751,460 | 0.110699 |
Pair | 214,250,184 | 0.276582 |
Two pair | 109,829,304 | 0.141782 |
Three of a kind | 19,970,844 | 0.025781 |
Straight | 98,961,348 | 0.127752 |
Flush | 191,762,164 | 0.247552 |
Full house | 8,767,440 | 0.011318 |
Four of a kind | 390,960 | 0.000505 |
Straight flush | 44,354,840 | 0.057259 |
Royal flush | 596,856 | 0.000770 |
Total | 774,635,400 | 1.000000 |
Table 10 shows the number of combinations for each hand of a second player, given that the first player has a royal flush.
Table 10 — First Player has a Royal Flush
Event | Pays | Probability |
---|---|---|
Less than pair | 10,532,592 | 0.117164 |
Pair | 25,380,864 | 0.282336 |
Two pair | 12,673,584 | 0.140981 |
Three of a kind | 2,304,216 | 0.025632 |
Straight | 9,485,064 | 0.105512 |
Flush | 23,604,264 | 0.262573 |
Full house | 993,600 | 0.011053 |
Four of a kind | 44,160 | 0.000491 |
Straight flush | 596,856 | 0.006639 |
Royal flush | 4,280,760 | 0.047619 |
Total | 89,895,960 | 1.000000 |
Blackjack double down ne demek ne. The following table shows the number of combinations for each hand of player 1 by the winner of the hand.
Table 11 — Winning Player by Hand of Player 1 — Combinations
Player 1 | Win | Tie | Loss | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than pair | 76,626,795,600 | 11,681,317,560 | 395,983,710,240 | 484,291,823,400 |
Pair | 496,857,988,764 | 38,757,694,752 | 683,256,278,484 | 1,218,871,962,000 |
Two pair | 419,896,266,012 | 34,054,545,168 | 199,549,574,820 | 653,500,386,000 |
Three of a kind | 97,664,829,948 | 4,647,370,128 | 32,024,879,724 | 134,337,079,800 |
Straight | 103,685,076,072 | 15,662,001,240 | 9,135,538,488 | 128,482,615,800 |
Flush | 71,523,195,288 | 2,910,219,176 | 9,717,104,296 | 84,150,518,760 |
Full house | 62,810,500,464 | 5,179,382,208 | 4,217,612,688 | 72,207,495,360 |
Four of a kind | 4,240,864,800 | 198,204,864 | 235,520,256 | 4,674,589,920 |
Straight flush | 734,237,144 | 35,247,960 | 5,150,296 | 774,635,400 |
Royal flush | 85,615,200 | 4,280,760 | - | 89,895,960 |
Total | 1,334,125,369,292 | 113,130,263,816 | 1,334,125,369,292 | 2,781,381,002,400 |
The following table shows the probability for each hand of player 1 by the winner of the hand. The bottom row shows that each player has a 47.97% chance of winning and a 4.07% chance of a tie.
PROBABILITY: 5-CARD POKER HANDS
Table 12 — Winning Player by Hand of Player 1 — Probabilities
Poker Hand Probability Table Examples
Player 1 Hand | Player 1 | Tie | Player 2 | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than pair | 0.027550 | 0.004200 | 0.142369 | 0.174119 |
Pair | 0.178637 | 0.013935 | 0.245654 | 0.438225 |
Two pair | 0.150967 | 0.012244 | 0.071745 | 0.234955 |
Three of a kind | 0.035114 | 0.001671 | 0.011514 | 0.048299 |
Straight | 0.037278 | 0.005631 | 0.003285 | 0.046194 |
Flush | 0.025715 | 0.001046 | 0.003494 | 0.030255 |
Full house | 0.022582 | 0.001862 | 0.001516 | 0.025961 |
Four of a kind | 0.001525 | 0.000071 | 0.000085 | 0.001681 |
Straight flush | 0.000264 | 0.000013 | 0.000002 | 0.000279 |
Royal flush | 0.000031 | 0.000002 | 0.000000 | 0.000032 |
Total | 0.479663 | 0.040674 | 0.479663 | 1.000000 |